Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.006097 0.006784 0.007531 0.008407 0.009408 0.010520 0.011855
2025-06-22 0.005130 0.006097 0.007236 0.008689 0.010507 0.012728 0.015679
2025-06-29 0.004410 0.005463 0.006770 0.008530 0.010872 0.013926 0.018286
2025-07-06 0.003887 0.004974 0.006377 0.008351 0.011110 0.014906 0.020669
2025-07-13 0.003542 0.004660 0.006153 0.008337 0.011524 0.016130 0.023525
2025-07-20 0.003333 0.004498 0.006104 0.008538 0.012242 0.017850 0.027364
2025-07-27 0.003079 0.004244 0.005894 0.008471 0.012535 0.018942 0.030354
2025-08-03 0.002880 0.004048 0.005742 0.008467 0.012907 0.020187 0.033780
2025-08-10 0.002684 0.003837 0.005548 0.008368 0.013106 0.021154 0.036852
2025-08-17 0.002544 0.003698 0.005448 0.008406 0.013526 0.022540 0.040930
2025-08-24 0.002387 0.003521 0.005272 0.008298 0.013678 0.023456 0.044231
2025-08-31 0.002221 0.003316 0.005036 0.008064 0.013575 0.023879 0.046584
2025-09-07 0.002114 0.003206 0.004952 0.008102 0.014003 0.025435 0.051819
2025-09-14 0.002059 0.003175 0.005000 0.008380 0.014923 0.028123 0.060273
2025-09-21 0.001934 0.003019 0.004822 0.008228 0.014986 0.029048 0.064750
2025-09-28 0.001817 0.002869 0.004643 0.008056 0.014987 0.029836 0.069064
2025-10-05 0.001735 0.002773 0.004553 0.008042 0.015308 0.031377 0.075741
2025-10-12 0.001691 0.002740 0.004569 0.008235 0.016087 0.034097 0.086419
2025-10-19 0.001614 0.002642 0.004461 0.008171 0.016299 0.035496 0.093657
2025-10-26 0.001550 0.002565 0.004387 0.008167 0.016641 0.037274 0.102584
2025-11-02 0.001480 0.002472 0.004274 0.008072 0.016765 0.038512 0.110146
2025-11-09 0.001431 0.002414 0.004225 0.008108 0.017198 0.040644 0.121435
2025-11-16 0.001368 0.002328 0.004116 0.008005 0.017284 0.041843 0.129821